<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Archiving and Interchange DTD with MathML3 v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-archivearticle1-3-mathml3.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"
  dtd-version="1.3" xml:lang="en" article-type="research-article">
  <?DTDIdentifier.IdentifierValue -//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.2 20190208//EN?>
  <?DTDIdentifier.IdentifierType public?>
  <?SourceDTD.DTDName JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd?>
  <?SourceDTD.Version 1.2?>
  <?ConverterInfo.XSLTName jats2jats3.xsl?>
  <?ConverterInfo.Version 1?>
  <?properties open_access?>
  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="iso-abbrev">Pharmacophore</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">pharmacophorejournal.com</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Pharmacophore</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Pharmacophore</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2229-5402</issn>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">pharmacophorejournal.com-6913</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.51847/3lnASSB1E1</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Original research</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Predicting Excipient Compatibility Using Thermal Degradation, Hygroscopicity, and Forced-Degradation Data</article-title>
      </title-group>
                    <contrib-group>
                      <contrib contrib-type="author">
              <name>
                <surname>Silva</surname>
                <given-names>Maria</given-names>
              </name>
                              <xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">1</xref>
                                                            <xref rid="cor1" ref-type="corresp" />
                          </contrib>
                      <contrib contrib-type="author">
              <name>
                <surname>Pereira</surname>
                <given-names>Joao</given-names>
              </name>
                              <xref rid="aff1" ref-type="aff">1</xref>
                                        </contrib>
                  </contrib-group>
                  <aff id="aff1">
            <label>1</label>Department of AI-Based Pharmaceutical Analytics, Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal.
          </aff>
                          <author-notes>
            <corresp id="cor1">
              <bold>Address for correspondence:</bold> Prof. Wael Abu Dayyih, Department of
              Pharmaceutical Chemistry, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mutah University, Al-Karak 61710, Jordan.
                              E-mail: <email xlink:href="maria.silva@gmail.com">maria.silva@gmail.com</email>
                          </corresp>
          </author-notes>
                    <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>28</day>
        <month>08</month>
        <year>2025</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>16</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>42</fpage>
      <lpage>51</lpage>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>
          Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Pharmacophore
        </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
        <license>
          <ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"
            specific-use="textmining" content-type="ccbyncsalicense">
            https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/</ali:license_ref>
          <license-p>This is an open access journal, and articles are distributed under the terms of
            the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 License, which allows
            others to remix, tweak, and build upon the work non-commercially, as long as appropriate
            credit is given and the new creations are licensed under the identical terms.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <title>A<sc>BSTRACT</sc></title>
        <p>Excipient selection is a critical but laborious step in pharmaceutical preformulation because incompatibilities can derail development even when the active pharmaceutical ingredient appears chemically stable alone. Thermal analysis, hygroscopicity, and forced-degradation data contain predictive signals that are often generated during routine screening but are rarely unified in a quantitative decision model. Current compatibility screening is commonly treated as a manual, binary-decision process. This approach does not fully leverage historical information across drug–excipient pairs, which can lead to repeated experiments, delayed formulation choices, and overlooked incompatibility risks. The objective of this manuscript is to describe a conceptual machine learning model that predicts the compatibility of a drug–excipient binary mixture. The model would use descriptors derived from differential scanning calorimetry, thermogravimetric analysis, moisture sorption, and forced-degradation profiles. A gradient-boosted classification model would be developed using curated compatibility outcomes and engineered descriptors from thermal degradation, hygroscopicity, and stress-testing data. Input features would include glass-transition changes, melting-point shifts, enthalpy changes, temperature-dependent mass loss, moisture uptake indices, and forced-degradation readouts. Conceptually, the model would provide a compatibility probability together with interpretable feature attributions. Such output could help scientists rule out high-risk combinations earlier and reserve experimental compatibility studies for borderline or strategically important cases. A predictive compatibility tool of this type would accelerate early formulation development, reduce material waste, and embed data-driven decision-making into preformulation science. Its practical value would depend on careful curation, conservative interpretation, and continued expert oversight.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
                <kwd>Excipient compatibility</kwd>
                <kwd>Predictive modeling</kwd>
                <kwd>Preformulation</kwd>
                <kwd>Thermal degradation</kwd>
                <kwd>Hygroscopicity</kwd>
                <kwd>Forced degradation</kwd>
              </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
</article>